It’s the last game of the Super Sixes round and there’s a semi-final spot at stake. England have already made it to the final four from Group 2, so only one of India (six points) and Pakistan (four points) can qualify. For India, it’s straightforward – win and go through. It’s not so simple for Pakistan, whose net run rate of 1.484 is significantly lower than India’s 3.337.
Pakistan will need to win by a big margin to equal India’s six points and overtake then on net run rate. For example, if Pakistan bat first and post 300, they need to win by 85 runs. If they bowl first and restrict India to around 200, they will need to chase it down in around 31.5 overs. If the target is, say, 251, Pakistan will need win in about 33.2 overs to make the semi-finals.
Pakistan will need to win by a big margin to equal India’s six points and overtake then on net run rate. For example, if Pakistan bat first and post 300, they need to win by 85 runs. If they bowl first and restrict India to around 200, they will need to chase it down in around 31.5 overs. If the target is, say, 251, Pakistan will need win in about 33.2 overs to make the semi-finals.